DIGITALISATION AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR MONETARY POLICY - REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE (RCF) 2023-24

NEWS: India’s digital economy poised to constitute 1/5th of GDP by 2026: RBI report

 

WHAT’S IN THE NEWS?

REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE :

Overview:

  • India's digital payments market is one of the fastest-growing globally, with an estimated market size of $3 trillion in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of 27% from 2018.
  • Growth drivers include initiatives and reforms by the government and private sector.

 

Key Growth Enablers:

  • Unified Payments Interface (UPI):
    • Developed by the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI).
    • Tenfold growth in volume over four years: from 12.5 billion transactions in 2019-20 to 131 billion in 2023-24.
    • Represents 80% of all digital payment volumes.
  • Other Digital Payment Modes:
    • Mobile wallets, net banking, and card payments also contribute significantly.

 

Significance:

  1. Enhances India's external trade in goods and services.
  2. Reduces costs of receiving remittances, leading to increased remittances and savings.

 

Concerns:

  • Impulsive Spending and Herd Behaviour:
    • Digital platforms enable rapid dissemination of financial trends.
    • Can lead to herd behaviour, such as mass buying or selling of stocks, and potential bank runs.
  • Data Safety:
    • Data breaches cost $2.18 million in 2023, a 28% increase since 2020.
    • Common attacks: phishing (22%) and stolen/compromised credentials (16%).
  • Impact on Monetary Policy:
    • Digitalisation affects inflation, output dynamics, and financial policy transmission.

WAYAHEAD:

  • RBI's proactive policy measures to harness digitalisation benefits while mitigating risks.
  • Cross-border digital trade policies are crucial for building trust and coordinating on regulatory aspects like data security and cybersecurity.
  • Progress on internationalisation of the rupee supported by a comprehensive policy approach.

Source: https://indianexpress.com/article/business/india-digital-economy-gdp-rbi-report-9482745/