UNCTAD - INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

News: Trade and Development Report Update (April 2024)

 

What's in the news?

       According to a report by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), India’s trade reliance on China and the European Union is rising as global trade is witnessing a marked shift along geopolitical lines.

 

Key takeaways from the Report:

1. Supply Chain Reset:

       This comes in the backdrop of major supply chain reset following the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war that had sent food and fuel prices to record highs.

 

2. UNCTAD Report Estimates Based on National Statistics: 

       India’s dependence on China and the European Union (EU) grew by 1.2 percent while its reliance on Saudi Arabia slid by 0.6 percent.

       This came despite India’s efforts to cut reliance on China by implementing its flagship Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme and Quality Control Orders (QCOs) largely to limit entry of cheap Chinese products.

 

3. Shifting Trade Pattern:

       UNCTAD’s estimates showed a major shift in trade due to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.

       While Russia’s trade dependence on China surged by a record 7.1 percent, its reliance on the EU decreased by 5.3 percent. This was largely due to Russian oil shifting from the EU to China and India.

       The US cut reliance on China by 1.2 percent in 2023 and increased its trade dependence on the EU and Mexico.

 

4. Decline in Global Trade:

       The report showed that global trade declined in most sectors, except for pharmaceuticals, transportation equipment, and road vehicles, particularly, electric cars.

       Among the sectors where the value of trade declined by more than 10 percent during 2023 are apparel, chemicals, energy metals, office equipment, and textiles.

 

5. Decline in Global Merchandise Trade:

       The value of global merchandise trade has experienced continuous decline since mid-2022.

       Trade in goods is expected to contract by about US$ 1.3 trillion or 5 percent in 2023 but services trade is expected to gain about $500 billion, or 8%.

 

Go back to basics:

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD):

       It is the UN’s leading institution dealing with trade and development.

       It is a permanent intergovernmental body established by the United Nations General Assembly in 1964.

 

Headquarters - Geneva, Switzerland.

 

Members – 195 nations (including India).

 

Structure:

1. UNCTAD Conference:

       Highest policy-making body of UNCTAD which meets once every 4 years.

 

2. Trade and Development Board:

       UNCTAD’s executive body which is responsible for the operations of the organization when the Conference is not in session.

 

3. UNCTAD Secretariat:

       Performs policy analysis, monitors and implements the decisions of UNCTAD’s intergovernmental bodies, and provides for technical cooperation.

 

Features:

       It supports developing countries to access the benefits of a globalised economy more fairly and effectively.

       It provides economic and trade analysis, facilitates consensus-building and offers technical assistance to help developing countries use trade, investment, finance, and technology for inclusive and sustainable development.

 

Reports published by the UNCTAD:

       Trade and Development Report

       World Investment Report

       The Least Developed Countries Report