RISING SEA LEVEL – ENVIRONMENT

News: Explained | How rising sea levels threaten agriculture, rainfall, and the social fabric

 

What's in the news?

       The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has found in a new report that the world’s sea level is rising at an unprecedented rate, portending potentially disastrous consequences for the weather, agriculture, the extant groundwater crisis, and social disparities.

 

About the report:

       The report, entitled ‘State of the Global Climate 2022’, was published last week. Along with accelerating sea-level rise, it focused on a consistent rise in global temperatures, record-breaking increases in the concentration of greenhouse gases as well as glacier loss, sustained drought-like conditions in East Africa, record rainfall in Pakistan, and unprecedented heat waves that struck Europe and China in 2022.

       Droughts, floods and heat waves affected communities on every continent and cost many billions of dollars.

       Antarctic sea ice fell to its lowest extent on record and the melting of some European glaciers was, literally, off the charts.

 

Sea level rise:

       The rate of global mean sea-level [GSML] rise has doubled between the first decade of the satellite record and the last.

       Satellite altimeter: Since the 1990s, scientists have been measuring sea-level rise using satellite altimeters. These instruments send radar pulses to the sea surface and measure the time they take to get back and the change in their intensity. The higher the sea level, the faster and stronger the return signal.

       According to the WMO report, the sea level has been rising in the three decades for which satellite altimeter data is available (1993-2022). But while the rate of sea-level rise was 2.27 mm/year in 1993-2002, it shot up to 4.62 mm/year in 2013-2022.

 

Major contribution to the sea level rise:

1. Three primary reasons:

       The WMO report points to the following factors as being responsible for a rising GSML:

       Ocean warming

       Ice loss from glaciers and ice sheets

       Changes in land water storage.

2. GSML budget:

       The report also quantifies the individual contribution of the above three factors to yield what researchers call the “GSML budget”.

       According to the report, in 2005-2019, loss of glaciers and ice sheets contributed 36% to the GSML rise.

       Ocean warming – the phenomenon of rising mean ocean temperatures – contributed 55%.

       Changes in the storage of land water contributed less than 10%.

3. Ocean thermal expansion:

       As increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases drive global warming, 90% of the ‘extra’ heat is stored in the oceans. This leads to ocean warming.

       As the ocean heats up, it undergoes thermal expansion, which in turn leads to a rise in the GSML.

       One measure of ocean warming is the ocean heat content (OHC). As per the report, OHC measures in 2022 touched a new record.

 

4. Cryosphere:

       The report also says that the earth’s ice cover, known as the cryosphere, has thinned.

       The cryosphere includes the Arctic and Antarctic regions (called “sea ice”), glaciers, the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica (area of ice on land covering more than 50,000 km), seasonal snow cover, and permafrost (mass of land that remains below 0º C for at least two straight years).

 

Major Impacts:

1. Land crunch:

       Rising seas swallow more of the land cover, particularly in coastal areas, coastal communities will face an “acute shortage of land for human use”.

       This land crunch will mean that those who are better off will be able to cope better than marginalized groups, leading to an increase in social disparities between people living in coastal areas.

2. Natural disasters or Extreme events:

       Weather formations like cyclones are known to typically originate in the open seas.

       As the GSML continues to rise, along with a rise in ocean temperatures, the chances of cyclones could increase, affecting coastal communities and leading to large economic liabilities for tropical countries like India and South Africa, which have high population densities.

3. Saltwater intrusion:

       As the GSML continues to rise, more seawater could seep into the ground, leading to the groundwater – which is usually freshwater – turning more and more saline.

       This in turn can exacerbate water crises in coastal areas as well as agriculture in adjacent regions.

4. Affect Coastal ecosystem:

       Coastal ecosystems could be “completely changed”.

       For example, in the Sunderbans delta in West Bengal, the world’s largest mangrove area, rising sea levels and coastal erosion, due to loss of land and sediment from coastal areas, has left more islands submerged under water, and that in turn has forced members of local communities to migrate. Indeed, a combination of these forces having increased child trafficking in the Sundarbans area has already been documented.

5. Affect local coastal communities:

       Since the lives of coastal communities, including their economic activities, is tied intricately with the coastal ecosystem, changes in the coastal ecosystem as a result of GSML rise – especially when it happens faster than rehabilitative policies and laws can catch up – will further endanger the socio-economic stability of these communities.

6. Food insecurity:

       Climate change will increasingly put pressure on food production and access, especially in vulnerable regions, undermining food security and nutrition and increases in frequency, intensity and severity of droughts, floods and heatwaves, and continued sea level rise will increase risks to food security in vulnerable regions.

7. Health impacts:

       Reduction of freshwater in coastal regions can cause water-related diseases like diarrhoea.

       Decrease in food production can contribute to malnutrition among coastal populations.

       Flooding in coastal areas can increase outbreaks of water-borne diseases like cholera.

8. Submergence:

       Although the sea-level rise is not uniform globally and differs locally, the report warns that prolonged and increasing sea-level rise would encroach on coastal infrastructure and settlements and expose low-lying coastal ecosystems to submersion and destruction.

 

Solutions to mitigate the impacts:

1. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions:

       The primary cause of sea level rise is global warming caused by the burning of fossil fuels.

       To address this, it is essential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions through actions such as shifting to renewable energy sources, increasing energy efficiency, and improving public transportation.

2. Adaptation measures:

       Coastal communities can also implement adaptation measures such as building sea walls, relocating vulnerable communities, and improving coastal land-use planning to reduce the impacts of sea level rise.

3. Natural Infrastructure:

       Restoration of natural infrastructure by coastal towns can serve as a safeguard against storms and coastal flooding.

       Barrier islands, oyster and coral reefs, mangroves, seagrass beds, and salt marshes are examples of natural structures that can absorb storm surges on their own or in conjunction with man-made structures like seawalls.

4. Developing sustainable infrastructure:

       Infrastructure such as buildings and roads can be designed to be more resilient to the impacts of sea level rise.

       This includes elevating buildings, designing roads to withstand flooding, and improving drainage systems.