PRIVATE GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION - ECONOMY

News: Why have private investments dropped?

 

What's in the news?

       The failure of private investment, as measured by private Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) at current prices, to pick up pace has been one of the major issues plaguing the Indian economy.

 

Key takeaways:

       Private investment witnessed a steady decline since 2011-12 and the government has been hoping that large Indian corporations would step in and ramp up investment.

       In fact, in 2019, the Centre slashed corporate taxes from 30% to 22% hoping that the move would encourage private investment.

 

Reasons for Decreasing Private Investments:

       Many economists in India have blamed low private consumption expenditure as the primary reason behind the failure of private investment to pick up over the last decade, and particularly since the onset of the pandemic.

       Other economists believe that structural problems may likely be the core reason behind the significant fall in private investment as a percentage of GDP over the last decade or so.

       They also voiced out that the policy uncertainty can discourage private investment as investors expect stability to carry out risky long-term projects.

 

Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF):

       GFCF refers to the growth in the size of fixed capital in an economy.

       Fixed assets/capital are tangible or intangible assets produced as outputs from production processes that are used repeatedly, or continuously, for more than one year.

 

GFCF Consists of:

       GFCF consists of resident producers' investments, deducting disposals, in fixed assets during a given period.

       It also includes certain additions to the value of non-produced assets realized by producers or institutional units.

 

Private and Government Investments in GFCF:

       Private GFCF can serve as a rough indicator of how much the private sector in an economy is willing to invest.

       Overall GFCF also includes capital formation as a result of investment by the government.

 

 

 

Significance of GFCF:

       GFCF helps in creation of fixed capital that helps to boost economic growth and improve living standards.

       Fixed capital largely determines the overall output of an economy.

       Developed economies such as the U.S. possess more fixed capital per capita than developing economies such as India.

       GFCF helping workers produce a greater amount of goods and services each year, helps to boost economic growth and improve living standards.

 

Upward Trends in GFCF:

       GFCF in the Indian economy increased significantly from INR 32.78 lakh crore in 2014-15 to INR 54.35 lakh crore in 2022-2023.

       This surge in capital formation reflects substantial investments in infrastructure, industry, and public goods.

 

Trends in Private Investment in India:

       In India, private investment began to pick up significantly mostly after the economic reforms of the late 1980s and the early 1990s that improved private sector confidence.

       From independence to economic liberalisation, private investment largely remained either slightly below or above 10% of the GDP.

       The growth in private investment lasted until the global financial crisis of 2007-08. It rose from around 10% of GDP in the 1980s to around 27% in 2007-08.

       From 2011-12 onwards, however, private investment began to drop and hit a low of 19.6% of the GDP in 2020-21.

 

Trends in Public Investment in India:

       Public investment as a percentage of GDP, on the other hand, steadily rose over the decades from less than 3% of GDP in 1950-51 to overtake private investment as a percentage of GDP in the early 1980s.

       Public investment began to drop post-liberalisation with private investment taking on the leading role in fixed capital formation.