INDIAN IT INDUSTRY 2024 – YEAR END REVIEW

NEWS: Key indicators in IT industry point to a stronger outlook for 2025 and beyond

 

Global Economic and Geopolitical Headwinds

  • The Indian IT industry faced significant hurdles in 2024 due to global economic uncertainties and geopolitical challenges.
  • Decreasing demand from key markets such as the US and Europe, combined with price erosion, created a tough business environment.

2. Layoffs and Hiring Slowdown

  • Widespread layoffs across the IT sector and a sharp decline in hiring numbers created a wave of concern among the public and industry stakeholders.
  • The pressure to cut costs and streamline operations led many firms to downsize their workforce.

3. Dip in Global Tech Spending

  • Nasscom’s annual review highlighted a 50% global decline in tech spending in 2023, which had a direct impact on Indian IT firms.
  • Contracts in the tech industry saw a 6% reduction, leading to fierce competition for new deals and projects.

 

Resilience and Adaptability of the Industry

1. Incremental Revenue Growth Despite Challenges

  • Despite the headwinds, the Indian IT industry managed to grow by 3.8% in FY2024, adding $9.3 billion in incremental revenue.
  • Total industry revenue, including hardware, reached an estimated $253.9 billion, demonstrating its ability to adapt and innovate.

2. Quarterly Recovery Points to Improvement

  • Revenue for the third quarter ending December 2024 grew by 3.1% over the previous quarter, signaling gradual recovery and stabilization.
  • The industry’s performance in the December quarter ended the year with a more positive outlook for 2025.

3. Signs of Global Recovery in Tech Spending

  • According to IDC projections, global tech spending is expected to grow by 4.4% in 2024 and further increase by 5% in 2025.
  • This anticipated recovery reflects an improving global sentiment towards technology investments.

 

Opportunities in AI and Generative AI (GenAI)

1. AI and Algorithm Regulation to Create New Demand

  • The US is expected to introduce significant AI and algorithm regulation in 2025, focusing on the concept of "guardrails-as-a-service."
  • This presents a major opportunity for Indian IT firms that are strategically investing in AI capabilities and services.

2. Workforce Transformation and Talent Demand

  • AI adoption is set to disrupt traditional workplace hierarchies, requiring a shift in workforce strategies.
  • The demand for skilled professionals in areas like AI and data science is expected to increase exponentially, necessitating proactive talent development.

3. Evolving Role of IT Service Providers

  • IT service providers are transitioning from traditional service delivery models to becoming value-added ecosystem orchestrators.
  • This shift involves integrating domain expertise with technology, capital, and partnerships to deliver greater value to enterprises.

 

Key Growth Drivers for the Industry

1. Expansion of Domestic Markets and GCCs

  • The domestic IT market is expanding, along with significant growth in Global Capability Centers (GCCs), providing a robust foundation for future growth.

2. Focus on Engineering R&D

  • Indian IT firms are increasingly focusing on engineering research and development, leading to the creation of innovative solutions and intellectual property.

3. Thriving Deep-Tech Start-Up Ecosystem

  • A diverse and dynamic start-up ecosystem in deep-tech is contributing to innovation and attracting investments in emerging technologies.

4. Accelerated Adoption of AI and GenAI

  • The continued innovation and adoption of AI and Generative AI technologies are driving advancements across industries, solidifying India’s position as a global tech hub.

 

Shortcomings and Challenges Ahead

1. Talent Retention and Development

  • Attracting and retaining talent in specialized areas like AI, machine learning, and data science remains a significant challenge.
  • Companies must redesign traditional compensation models and career advancement structures to appeal to top talent.

2. Sustainability Challenges

  • The rapid growth in computing power demand has highlighted the need for energy-efficient technologies and sustainable practices.
  • Companies must focus on reducing their environmental impact while meeting the rising demand for digital services.

 

 

 

 

Future Outlook (2025 and Beyond)

1. Year of Transformation and Growth

  • 2025 is anticipated to be a transformative year, as companies embrace new realities of the digital economy.
  • Growth will be driven by advancements in AI, cloud computing, and other cutting-edge technologies.

2. Impact of Geopolitical Tensions and Tech Sovereignty

  • Disruptions in global supply chains caused by geopolitical tensions will create challenges but also open up new opportunities for Indian IT firms to localize and innovate.

3. Strategic Collaborations for Growth

  • Indian IT firms will need to build partnerships with academic institutions, industry experts, and technology providers to stay competitive.
  • Leveraging these collaborations will help them navigate challenges and unlock new avenues for growth.

 

Conclusion

While 2024 was marked by challenges such as reduced global tech spending, workforce restructuring, and economic uncertainty, the Indian IT industry has shown remarkable resilience. By capitalizing on opportunities in AI, domestic market expansion, and strategic collaborations, the industry is poised for a strong comeback in 2025 and beyond.

 

Source: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/it-industry-sees-slow-recovery-amid-global-uncertainties-nasscom/article69029293.ece