INDIA ON ISRAEL-PALESTINE WAR – INTERNATIONAL

News: Balancing policy: On Israel, Palestine and India’s line

 

What's in the news?

       India’s diplomatic position on the Israel-Palestine conflict has witnessed significant shifts over the years.

       While the PM's recent expression of solidarity with Israel during a period of heightened conflict has sparked debate, it is essential to contextualize these developments in India’s historical foreign policy.

 

Historical Background:

1. India’s Early Stance:

       India’s initial position on the Israel-Palestine issue was shaped by leaders like Jawaharlal Nehru and Mahatma Gandhi.

       In 1947, India voted against UN Resolution 181, advocating for the partition of Mandatory Palestine. Nehru favoured a federal state with wide autonomy for Arabs and Jews, influenced by Gandhi’s opposition to a Jewish state.

2. Recognition of Israel:

       Despite recognizing Israel in 1950, India did not establish diplomatic relations until 1992. Factors such as a sizable Muslim population, Cold War dynamics and the need to maintain Arab support influenced this delayed recognition.

Impact of Establishing Diplomatic Relations:

1. End of Cold War:

       India’s decision to establish diplomatic ties with Israel in 1992 marked a shift after the end of the Cold War.

       The government of P.V. Narasimha Rao took this bold step, focusing on national interests and strengthening economic relations, particularly in defence.

2. Ongoing Support for Palestine:

       India’s recognition of Israel did not signal abandonment of its principled support for Palestine. India continued to voice support for the Palestinian cause while developing closer ties with Israel.

 

Contemporary Developments:

1. India-Israel Relations:

       Presently, India enjoys a strong and multifaceted relationship with Israel. Prime Ministers Modi and Netanyahu have cultivated personal rapport, and both countries collaborate closely, especially in the defence sector.

2. Change in Rhetoric:

       India has adopted a more measured approach in its rhetoric regarding the Israel-Palestine conflict, especially in international forums like the United Nations. Some argue that India’s pro-Palestine stance has not yielded commensurate benefits in terms of national interest.

3. Ideological Shift:

       India’s support for Israel’s response to attacks from Gaza is sometimes misinterpreted as anti-Islamic action. Israel’s approach to cross-border terrorism resonates with some in India, although the situations differ significantly.

 

India’s Formal Position:

1. Support for Two-State Solution:

       India officially supports the two-state solution, envisioning Israel and Palestine as peaceful neighbours coexisting harmoniously.

2. Official visits: 

       PM Modi’s visit to Ramallah in 2018 underscored India’s commitment to this position.

3. Public perception: 

       A large section of Indian society is supportive of the Palestinian cause due to religious affinities.

 

Impact of Israel-Palestine war on India:

1. Trade Implications:

       An intensification of the conflict has the potential to disrupt India's trade with Israel. This could potentially deter investments in the region and have a negative impact on both I2U2 and IMEC (India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor).

       For example, Trade between India and Israel has seen a rise, surging from a pre-Covid level of USD 5 billion to approximately USD 7.5 billion by January 2023.

2. Energy Security:

       India imports a significant amount of its energy needs and a stable Middle East is vital for its energy security. Political instability in the region, which is partly due to the Israel-Palestine conflict, can disrupt energy supplies and impact India's economy.

       For example, India imports nearly 40% of its oil and 70% of its gas requirements from West Asia.

3. Foreign Policy and Diplomacy:

       In the event of an escalation of the conflict that brings in other Arab countries, it has the potential to cause diplomatic complexities for India.

       Striking a delicate equilibrium between its relationship with Israel and the preservation of positive relations with Arab nations may become increasingly intricate.

4. Defence Ties:

       India has sought defence and security cooperation with Israel, benefiting from Israel's advanced military technology. However, the conflict may impact India's defence ties with Israel.

       For example, India stands as one of the primary importers of weapons from Israel, accounting for approximately 40% of Israel's yearly arms exports.

       Over the years, the Indian armed forces have introduced a diverse range of Israeli weaponry into their arsenal such as Phalcon AWACS (Airborne Warning and Control Systems), Heron, Searcher-II and Harop drones etc.

5. Diaspora:

       India has a substantial diaspora residing in diverse Middle Eastern nations. In the event of an escalation in the conflict, safeguarding the well-being and security of these Indian expatriates becomes imperative for India. Further, conflict would negatively affect the flow of remittances from the West Asian region to India.

       For example, nearly 9million Indian expats live and work in Gulf Cooperation Council countries

6. Security Concerns:

       Instability in the Middle East due to the conflict can have security implications for India. This includes concerns about terrorism, as well as the safety of Indian citizens in the region.