FARM EXPORTS – GEOGRAPHY

News: Department of commerce has released a provisional data of the farm trade

 

What's in the news?

       Provisional data from the Department of Commerce shows total farm exports at $53.15 billion and imports at $35.69 billion during 2022-23, surpassing their previous year’s records of $50.24 billion and $32.42 billion respectively.

 

Key takeaways:

Decreased agriculture trade surplus:

       The resultant agricultural trade surplus has marginally dipped from $17.82 billion to $17.46 billion.

       The surplus narrows further if one adds the import of fertilizers, which have risen from $14.17 billion in 2021-22 to $17.21 billion in 2022-23.

 

Trend in Agriculture Trade after 2013:

       Between 2013-14 and 2015-16, exports sharply fell from $43.25 billion to $32.81 billion. The basic driver was global prices.

       The UN Food and Agriculture Organization’s Food Price Index (FPI) crashed from an average of 119.1 points in 2013-14 to 90 points in 2015-16. However, imports continued to rise, bringing down the farm trade surplus from a peak of $27.72 billion in 2013-14 ($21.46 billion net of fertilizer imports) to a low of $8.05 billion by 2016-17.

       Two items whose exports had registered substantial increases, only to falter in the last few years, are spices and buffalo meat.

 

Major export contributors:

1. Marine products:

       Marine product exports have grown steadily from $5.02 billion in 2013-14 to $8.08 billion in 2022-23.

2. Rice export:

       Rice exports have also gone up during this period, from $7.79 billion to $11.14 billion.

       Basmati exports are mainly to the Persian Gulf countries and, to some extent, the US and UK.

       Non-basmati shipments are more diversified, with the destinations spread across Asia (Bangladesh, China, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Vietnam, UAE and Iraq) and Africa (from Senegal, Ivory Coast and Benin to Somalia and Madagascar).

       It’s non-basmati that has made India the biggest rice exporter, ahead of Thailand.

3. Sugar export:

       The boom in sugar exports has been more recent – from a mere $810.90 million in 2017-18 to $1.97 billion in 2019-20, $2.79 billion in 2020-21, $4.60 billion in 2021-22 and $5.77 billion in 2022-23.

       Indian mills have built markets for both raw sugar (among refineries in Bangladesh, Indonesia, Malaysia, Saudi Arabia and Iraq) and regular plantation whites (in African countries, Afghanistan, Sri Lanka and China).

       The country has, in the process, emerged as the second largest exporter after Brazil.

4. Spices export:

       Spices exports jumped from $2.5 billion in 2013-14 to almost $4 billion in 2020-21.

       It was led not by traditional plantation spices such as pepper and cardamom, but by chilli, mint products, cumin, turmeric, ginger, coriander, fennel and other seed spices.

5. Buffalo meat:

       Buffalo meat shipments have stagnated and have never regained their peak of $4.78 billion reached in 2014-15.

6. Cotton export:

       Cultivation of genetically-modified Bt cotton and high global prices had enabled India to become the world’s top producer (ahead of China) and second largest exporter (after the US) of the natural fibre.

       But with the yield gains from Bt tapering off and the regulatory regime not permitting new gene technologies, the country has turned from a net exporter to an importer of cotton.

7. Other exports:

       The drop has been even more for raw cotton, guar-gum and oil meals.

       Exports of the three in 2022-23 ($781.43 million, $617.14 million and $1.6 billion) were a pale shadow of their highs of 2011-12 ($4.33 billion for cotton) and 2012-13 ($3.92 billion for guar-gum and $3.04 billion for oil meals).

 

Major Import Products:           

1. Vegetable oil:

       The most significant is vegetable oils, whose imports have more than doubled in value terms, from $9.67 billion to $20.84 billion between 2019-20 and 2022-23.

       During November-March 2022-23, they have grown further by 23.7% over the same period of the previous oil year.

       Imports meet roughly 60% of India’s vegetable oil requirements.

2. Pulses:

       India now almost has achieved ATMA NIRBHAR in pulses with hardly 10% now in pulses, with the value of imports also coming down from $4.24 billion (6.7mt) in 2016-17 to $1.94 billion (2.5mt) in 2022-23.

3. Spices and others:

       On the other hand, imports of spices, cashew and cotton – commodities where India has traditionally been a net exporter – have shown a rising trend.

       Spice imports going up are a reflection of reduced price competitiveness (vis-à-vis Vietnam in pepper and Guatemala in pepper), while an outcome of stagnant, if not falling, domestic production in cotton.

 

Issues in Agri-exports:

Agri-exports in the current fiscal could face headwinds from two sources:

1. International prices:

       The latest FPI reading of 127.2 points for April 2023 is down from the 159.7 points peak of March 2022 and the 2022-23 average of 139.5 points.

2. Domestic prices:

       The second source is domestic, more specifically food inflation fears ahead of the 2024 national elections.

       The government banned wheat exports last May.

       This was followed by a ban on broken rice exports and the slapping of a 20% duty on all non-parboiled non-basmati shipments in September.

       Exports of sugar have also stopped since this month’s start.

 

Initiatives taken by India to boost agriculture export:

1. Dedicated Agricultural Export Development Authority:

       India encourages agricultural exports by creating a dedicated body named the Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA).

       The government created APEDA under the APEDA Act 1985.  

       Under the Export Promotion Scheme of APEDA, the government is providing assistance to the exporters of agricultural products.

2. New Agriculture Export Policy:

       India has released its dedicated Agricultural Export Policy in 2018 to boost Agriculture Exports and improve the livelihood of farmers.

3. Double Exports:

       To double agricultural exports from the present $30 billion to $60 billion by 2022 and reach $100 billion in the next few years thereafter, with a stable trade policy regime.

4. Market Access:

       To provide an institutional mechanism for pursuing market access, tackling barriers and dealing with sanitary and phytosanitary issues.

5. Global Integration:

       To strive to double India’s share in world Agri-exports by integrating with the global value chain at the earliest.

6. GI and Other Initiatives:

       Several initiatives have also been taken to promote products having registered Geographical Indications (GI) in India by organising virtual Buyer Seller Meets on agricultural and food products with the United Arab Emirates and on GI products, including handicrafts with the USA.

7. Transport and Marketing Assistance for Specified Agriculture Products: 

       The Government has also brought out a new Central Sector Scheme, ‘Transport and Marketing Assistance for Specified Agriculture Products’ - for providing assistance for the international component of freight, to mitigate the freight disadvantage for the export of agriculture products, and marketing of agricultural products.

8. Other initiatives:

       The Government has several schemes to promote exports, including exports of agricultural products, viz. Trade Infrastructure for Export Scheme (TIES), Market Access Initiatives (MAI) Scheme, Merchandise Exports from India Scheme (MEIS).

       The Government has allowed 100% FDI in the activities of agriculture through the automatic route.

 

Initiatives to reduce agriculture import:

1. Raising Minimum Support Price:

       The raising of the minimum support price of mustard from Rs 5,050 to Rs 5,450 per quintal for the 2022-23 crop season will improve the mustard production thus mustard is the second largest oil seed in production wise in India.

2. GM mustard:

       Government recently has granted clearance (“environmental release”) for commercial cultivation of genetically modified (GM) hybrid mustard.

       Seed yields from the transgenic mustard DMH-11, bred by Delhi University scientists, are claimed to be 25-30% more than from currently-grown popular varieties.

3. National mission for edible oil - oil palm:

       India imports 60% of its total edible oil consumption. Palm oil is the largest share in this import.

       To reduce the Palm oil import, the government in 2021 has introduced a new National Mission for Edible oil - Oil palm scheme to increase the area of palm oil cultivation and productivity.