CORE INFLATION - ECONOMY

News: Core Inflation Falls to Lowest Level Since September 2021

 

What's in the news?

       Even as overall price stability has likely been restored in the economy with core inflation softening to a three-year low in the first quarter of 2023-24, the food inflation spike in June due to higher prices for vegetables, fruit and pulses underscores the need for a guarded approach.

 

Core Inflation:

       Core inflation is the change in the costs of goods and services but does not include those from the food and energy sectors.

       Food and energy prices are exempt from this calculation because their prices can be too volatile or fluctuate wildly.

 

Significance:

       Core inflation is used to determine the impact of rising prices on consumer income.

       If the increase in the price index is due to temporary shocks that could soon reverse themselves, it may not require any monetary policy action.

       To deal with such situations, many central banks use measures of core inflation that are designed to filter the transitory price movements.

       Core inflation by eliminating the volatile components from the headline helps in identifying the underlying trend in headline inflation and is believed to predict future inflation better.

       Core inflation is a convenient guide to help the central bank achieve its objective of controlling total inflation.

 

Go back to basics:

Headline Inflation:

       It is the raw inflation figure reported through the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

       The CPI determines inflation by calculating the prices of a fixed basket of goods.

       Core inflation removes the CPI components that can exhibit large amounts of volatility from month to month.